Charts · Models
Charts and models
Pick a category, pick a chart. Standard indicators, alongside original charts and models. Here, you can truly be your own analyst.
No charts match.
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BTC Spot
Log USD spot price of Bitcoin — the research baseline.
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Cycle Structure
Spot inside the power-law corridor with realized, terminal, and Pi tops.
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Power-Law Trend
OLS trend with support/ceiling bands and % above support.
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200-Week SMA
Macro floor: price vs the 200-week moving average.
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Realized / Terminal
Spot, realized cost basis, and terminal — with a 0–100 oscillator between them.
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Pi Cycle
Pi Cycle Top (111 / 2×350) with Pi Cycle Bottom (150 EMA / 471×0.745).
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Cycle Scenarios
Quantile floor with bear/base/bull path arcs.
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Cycle Envelope
Cycle-high and cycle-low power laws with a 0–100 envelope oscillator.
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Floor Gap
Gap above the power-law floor, cycle area, and predicted peak path.
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Harmonic Fair Value
Sine-on-gap fair value around the power-law trend.
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CMO 1M
Monthly Chande Momentum with oversold / overbought bands.
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Production Cost
Spot vs miner electrical–all-in cost ribbon.
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BTC / Gold
Weekly BTC priced in gold, with a 52-week z-score of the ratio.
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Stock-to-Flow
PlanB-style S2F model vs spot.
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Cycle Score
Composite −1…+1 cycle score with vote chips.
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CDD 90D
Spot vs 90-day coin-days destroyed.
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MVRV / NUPL
Dual MVRV and NUPL valuation oscillators.
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Puell Multiple
Miner revenue vs 365-day average.
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ETF Flows / OI
Spot with ETF cumulative net and perp open interest.
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Gold & Bitcoin ETP Flows
Indexed returns and GLD + BTC ETF cumulative flows.
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Bitcoin & Liquidity
BTC vs G4 M2 and SPX 52-week context.
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Cu/Au MACD
BTC with copper/gold MACD histogram.
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Global Liq YoY
Proprietary global-liquidity YoY pulse vs BTC.
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US Net Liquidity
WALCL − TGA − RRP with lag chips.
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Global Net Liquidity
G3 net liquidity lead tape vs BTC.
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MVRV
Market value / realized value over time.
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Real Yield (Inv)
Inverted 10-year TIPS real yield vs BTC.
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Drawdown
Cycle drawdown from prior highs.
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Bear Market Rallies
Bounce-stage samples while >30% below the ATH. Green = the prior low held 180 days; red = it was undercut.
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Halving Overlay
Prior epoch analogs indexed from each halving.
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Lows Overlay
Cycle-low analogs overlaid on the live path.
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Highs Overlay
Cycle-high analogs overlaid on the live path.
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Sharpe Ratio
Rolling 1-year return per unit of risk vs price — color-mapped on the price pane.
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Trend Ladder
128, 200, 365-day MAs plus the 200-week floor.
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Weekly RSI
RSI-14 on weekly closes with 30/70 zones.
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Weekly MACD
MACD 12/26/9 on weekly ln(price) so early and late cycles share a scale.
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Weekly Stochastic
Stochastic 14/3 on weekly candles.
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Fibonacci Cycle Zone
0–100 fib retracement inside the multi-year range.
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Performance Since Halving
Each cycle indexed to 1× on halving day.
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Mayer Multiple
Price ÷ 200-day moving average.
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Fear & Greed
Crypto Fear & Greed index vs price.
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Hash Ribbons
30- vs 60-day hashrate averages and recovery signals.
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Golden Ratio Multiplier
350-day average × φ and Fibonacci multiples.
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Log-Linear Channel
Log-linear trend with ±1/2/3σ bands.
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MVRV Z-Score
Market vs realized value in standard deviations.
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The MVRV Ratio
Log price and realized cost basis on top, MVRV with expanding mean ± σ below. Green under 1, red above +1.5σ.
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MVRV Momentum Oscillator
MVRV versus its own 365-day average. Red on price is a 320+ day stretch below zero; green is the 24 months after the flip, with the median path of prior flips drawn forward.
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Residual Quantiles
Power-law trend with empirical Q5–Q95 residual bands.
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Fair-Value Residual
Fair value with ±1/2/3σ bands and a 2-year projection, paired with a percentile oscillator and historical 1-year forward returns by deviation zone.
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MVRV–NUPL Composite
Ranked blend of MVRV and NUPL into 0–100.
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Relative Unrealized Profit
Paper profit as a share of market cap.
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SOPR
Spent-output profit ratio — coins sold above or below cost.
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Realized Profit vs Loss
Log price on top. Below: 365-day SMAs of realized profit (orange) and realized loss (blue). A dead cross — profit SMA dropping through loss SMA — has marked every cycle bottom since 2012.
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Thermocap Multiple
Spot divided by cumulative miner revenue (thermocap price).
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Stablecoin Supply Ratio
Bitcoin market cap divided by major-stablecoin supply.
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200DMA Quantile Regression
Log price with expanding-window 200DMA quantile bands (Q5–Q95) and a 0–100 oscillator.
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Mean Reversion Index
Equal-weight blend of six cost-basis models.
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Global Liquidity Fair Value
BTC regressed on global M2 with σ bands.
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Damped Harmonic Oscillator
Damped cycle bands around the power law.
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Fear Premium
Composite fair-value fear/greed gauge 0–100.
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M2 YoY Overlay
Global M2 year-over-year vs BTC price.
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SPY
S&P 500 ETF daily close — the equity risk baseline.
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VIX
CBOE implied vol — the risk bid on US equities.
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DXY
ICE US dollar index (broad USD fallback: DTWEXBGS).
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Fed Funds
Effective federal funds rate with the target band.
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10Y Yield
Nominal 10-year Treasury yield (DGS10).
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2s10s
10Y − 2Y curve. Inversion is recession tape.
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Real Yield
10-year TIPS real yield (DFII10).
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HY OAS
ICE BofA high-yield option-adjusted spread.
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Net Liquidity
WALCL − TGA − RRP in billions of dollars.
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CPI YoY
CPIAUCSL year-over-year percent change.
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UNRATE
U-3 civilian unemployment rate.
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Philly Fed
Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey. Zero is flat.
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LFPR vs 5Y
Labor-force participation vs the 5-year Treasury yield.
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Overtime Z
Manufacturing overtime hours as a z-score.
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ISM vs Workforce
ISM manufacturing vs the labor-force / workforce pulse.
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ISM vs NFP
ISM manufacturing vs month-over-month payrolls.
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ISM vs Lending
ISM manufacturing vs bank tightening / lending standards.
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MSTR Spot
Strategy (MSTR) daily close since the Bitcoin treasury announcement.
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MSTR vs BTC
Total return of MSTR versus Bitcoin, indexed from overlap.
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MSTR BTC Beta
Monthly log-log OLS: implied beta of MSTR to Bitcoin.
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Buy / Sell Tape
MSTR spot with treasury buy and sell markers sized by BTC.
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BTC Stack
Bitcoin holdings on the Strategy balance sheet.
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BTC / Share
Sats per share — gross BTC per diluted share.
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mNAV History
Gross mNAV (price ÷ BPS × BTC) with quarterly net steps.
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Implied MSTR
NAV-identity implied equity price across a BTC ladder.
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Sats / $1
Gross treasury sats per dollar of equity market cap.
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Net Sats / $1
Residual sats after debt + preferred − cash, vs spot BTC.
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Pref vs BTC
Preferred yields versus Bitcoin’s 1-year return and hurdle ARR.
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Issuance Decomp
Implied ATM vs preferred vs other BTC additions.
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Coverage / Carry
USD-reserve dividend coverage in years.
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CEBE Rank
Ranked by net / CEBE mNAV: residual Bitcoin left for common after debt and preferreds. Gross mNAV is the headline that lies.
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mNAV
Market NAV multiple across rankable Bitcoin treasury issuers.
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Net Sats / $
Residual sats per equity dollar vs the spot-BTC control.
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Yield vs Carry
BTC yield versus blended preferred/debt carry — above the diagonal is accretive.
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Amp vs mNAV
Balance-sheet amplification versus mNAV for each issuer.
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Mempool
Median fee by projected next block after NOW.
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Hashrate
Network hashrate (EH/s) and difficulty-epoch context.
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Block Interval
Minutes between recent blocks versus the 10-minute target.
