Mean Reversion Index

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In plain English

Six (or as many as exist) “what should price be” models — 200-day average, realized cost, power-law trend, miner cost, and friends — each say whether price is rich or cheap in log space. This averages those votes into 0–100.

High means cheap versus that blend (mean-reversion fuel). Low means stretched versus the blend. It is an equal-weight committee, not a new identity.

Math and metrics

Equal-weight mean of log(P/ref) for refs that exist that day (need ≥2): SMA_200, realized USD, power-law trend, production cost. Mapped to 0–100.

m = mean_j log(P / ref_j). MRI = clamp(0,100, 50 − 28m).

High MRI = cheap vs the blended cost-basis models (sign is inverted vs raw log-premium).