Real Yield (Inv)

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In plain English

The US 10-year real yield is what you earn on inflation-protected Treasuries after inflation expectations. When that number is high, sitting in Treasuries pays; gold and bitcoin feel more expensive to hold.

This Bitcoin-desk version is inverted so “easier” is up. When the oscillator is high, real yields are low (tailwind). When it is low, real yields are high (headwind). The Market-desk Real Yield card is the same series without the flip.

Math and metrics

FRED DFII10, daily, aligned onto the weekly bitcoin lab series. Inversion is display-only. Optional 52-week z of the inverted series on the Z chip.

plotted_t = −DFII10_t. z_t = (inv_t − mean_52(inv)) / σ_52(inv).

DFII10 is already a real rate (TIPS), not a synthetic (nominal − CPI).