The floor is that same long-run support. The gap is how many dollars price sits above it. Colored puddles are the area of that gap through each cycle — like totaling the extra height over time.
The gold dashed path is a guess for the rest of this cycle, using the last finished cycle’s gap shape, then glued to today’s price. It is a map of diminishing returns versus the floor, not a promise of a peak price.
Same OLS power law and detected bottoms (modelSeries + swings). If price tags a cycle high then hugs the floor, that bounce is a cycle low here even if dollar drawdown missed the 55% swing cutoff.
gap_t = max(0, spot_t − floor_t). relAUC = ∫ (gap/floor) dt. AUC headline ≈ relAUC × floor.
relAUC_{n+1} = relAUC_n + mean(ΔrelAUC)·(days_n/days_now)^{1/b}.
log(peak gap/floor) = c + α log(relAUC). Path: floor(t)+gap(t) along the prior-cycle template.
Gold peak is argmax of that predicted USD path. The template hinge is the calendar gap-peak; because the floor is still rising, the USD high can sit a bit later and above floor(hinge)+gap.