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Overtime Z

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In plain English

Factory overtime hours, turned into a z-score: how many standard deviations today’s print sits from the series’ own history.

High overtime (positive z) means plants are busy. Deeply negative z means hours have been cut — a classic late-cycle labor tell. Zero is “typical for this series,” not “no overtime.”

Math and metrics

FRED AWHAEOT (avg weekly overtime hours, manufacturing). Collector z-scores the level series.

z_t = (OT_t − mean(OT)) / σ(OT) over the available sample.