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SPY

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In plain English

SPY is a fund that holds the 500 biggest US companies, weighted by size. When people say “the stock market,” they usually mean this.

The line is dollars per share. Up is a risk-on tape for US equities. It is not GDP, not the Fed, and not bitcoin — it is the equity baseline this desk compares everything else to.

Math and metrics

Yahoo Finance SPY daily close, downsampled ~420 pts. Log scale. No total-return adjustment on this plate (dividends not reinvested).

y_t = close_t (USD/share).