CHAIN PULSE
connecting —
← all charts

Residual Quantiles

Drag to zoom
Loading chart…

In plain English

The power-law trend again, but the bands are not “±2σ by assumption.” They are empirical: 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 95th percentiles of how far price has actually wandered from that trend.

The lower pane rescales that residual to 0–100. Low = historically cheap versus the trend. High = historically stretched.

Math and metrics

Site OLS power law. Residual z = log10(P/trend)/σ. Quantiles of z mapped back to dollars: trend · 10^(q·σ).

z = log10(P/trend)/σ. osc = clamp(0,100, 50 + 16z).

Q5–Q95 are empirical, full-sample. Oscillator zones 20 / 80 as cheap / stretched.