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Weekly RSI

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In plain English

RSI asks whether recent weeks were more “up” or “down,” then squishes that into 0–100. Around 50 is balanced. Below 30 is oversold (lots of down weeks). Above 70 is overbought (lots of up weeks).

On bitcoin’s weekly clock, oversold has historically been a better one-year starting point than overbought. It can stay overbought in a roaring bull.

Math and metrics

Wilder RSI-14 on weekly closes. Dual pane: log price, RSI 0–100. Zones 30 / 70.

avgGain, avgLoss = Wilder smooth of weekly Δ. RS = avgGain/avgLoss. RSI = 100 − 100/(1+RS).

Oversold ≤30, 30–45 low, 45–55 mid, 55–70 high, ≥70 overbought.